Signal Terminal
Regime intelligence for programmable money
Apr 15, 2026
Live
Regime Signals
Methodology: v0.1 — thresholds fixed; revisions logged.
Signal Liquidity · SLI▼i
Expansion
70.4
1d in Expansion
70.4 (7%)
20
30
Tightening
Neutral
Expansion
Signal Yield · SYI▼i
Expanding
45.3
1d in Expanding
45.3 (1%)
20
40
Compressing
Stable
Expanding
Signal Stress · SSI▼i
Elevated
79.3
1d in Elevated
79.3 (7%)
25
50
Low
Moderate
Elevated
Current Regime
Liquidity Expansion·Yield Expanding·Stress Elevated
Tactical offense — stress demands tight discipline
→Add tactical positions actively; keep stops tight; undersize secondary relative to normal.
This Week's Read
Structural Analysis
Signal
Tactical offense — stress demands tight discipline
Capital is broadening across opportunities, though yield dispersion is expanding amid elevated market stress.
Liquidity and dispersion signal opportunity, but elevated stress demands tight risk management. Tactical, not broad.
Action
Add tactical positions actively; keep stops tight; undersize secondary relative to normal.
Primary Risk
Stress signals can collapse the dispersion opportunity quickly — avoid overcommitting.
Recommended Allocation
CORE65–75%· major → alt
ARB / ETH
Uniswap v3
→Best regime-adjusted score in major → alt sleeve. Fee/TVL 0.710% with manageable risk.
CORE65–75%· stable → major
SOL / USDC
Orca Whirlpools
→Best regime-adjusted score in stable → major sleeve. Fee/TVL 0.580% with manageable risk.
CORE65–75%· stable → alt
MKR / DAI
Uniswap v2
→Best regime-adjusted score in stable → alt sleeve. Fee/TVL 0.280% with manageable risk.
Regime Shift Signal
Stress Escalating
What This Means
Market stress is rising rapidly — execution conditions are deteriorating and volatility is picking up across the book.
Implication
Tighten position sizing immediately; prioritize liquidity over yield in all new deployment decisions.
Watchlist
Market⇅Score⇅iFee / TVL⇅Vol / TVL⇅Corr. Stability⇅iCrowdness⇅iSignal⇅
SOL / USDC
Orca Whirlpools
710.580 %44.0 %
66↑
48↓
Core
ETH / USDC
Uniswap v3
540.420 %31.0 %
78↓
82
Core
WBTC / USDC
Balancer v2
580.330 %22.0 %
61↓
55
Core
BTC / ETH
Uniswap v2
640.190 %14.0 %
91
45↓
Core
sDAI / USDC
Curve Finance
650.085 %8.0 %
97
31↓
Core
ARB / ETH
Uniswap v3
730.710 %55.0 %
52↓
39↓
Tactical
MKR / DAI
Uniswap v2
640.280 %17.0 %
74
29↓
Tactical
Aave USDC Lend
Aave v3
400.210 %19.0 %
88
67↑
Tactical
ETH / stETH
Curve Finance
430.045 %6.0 %
99
88↑
Avoid
USDT / USDC
Curve 3pool
360.031 %4.0 %
100
72↑
Avoid